The Betfair exchange, Inefficient efficiency
One of the questions that people often ask me is whether the markets are easier to trade than they were 10 or 20 years ago? Are the markets following efficient market theory on the Betfair exchange, so are they more efficient now? Eugene Fama was ‘famous’ for the efficient market hypothesis, though his work was mainly aimed at…
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Using automation to catch a big priced winner
The question of how efficient pre-off racehorse racing markets on Betfair is one that often crops up and for most people, their first response is that they are very efficient. While this is true at a general level, at the same time the markets are also seemingly very inefficient, so how can it be both?…
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The Betfair exchange – Getting more and less efficient at the same time!
One of the questions that people often ask me is whether the markets easier to trade than they were 10 or 20 years ago and are the markets on the Betfair exchange more efficient or less efficient now. The answer is an odd one.
Are the markets efficient…
Most and least volatile racecourses to trade
I did a tweet recently that stated a little trading fact, that Chelmsford City was the most volatile course. I had a fairly immediate retort, that stated it wasn’t a fact but was ‘just’ an opinion. It was actually a carefully researched fact.
Volatility
I’ve collected data on volatility right from day one of my trading journey and have built up a massive database of data. One of the things I study is how volatile the market is.
I measure …