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Where Angels fear to tread

I’ve learnt over time that whether it’s short-term trading on Betfair or long-term investing in financial markets, being a contrarian seems to be a very effective strategy. Why does contrarian behaviour work? Over the years, I’ve spent a lot of time looking at psychology and its impact on decision-making, and it’s proved a fascinating subject. I’ve immersed…

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Key turning points in a Tennis Match

You should read this article in conjunction with the one I have written about “choking” in sports. Spotting key turning points when Betfair trading There can often be key turning points in a sport and it’s most dominant in individual player sports, especially Tennis. One of the most subtle examples I can give in recent years…

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Trading the Eurovision song contest

Of all the markets I trade, the Eurovision song contest has to be one of the daftest, from a number of perspectives. Even if you are not watching it, you should take a look at the Eurovision market this evening. It can throw up some interesting opportunities from a betting and trading perspective. When I…

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Betfair trading – Little and often soon adds up

This is a phrase I’ll often quote when advising people on how to trade. Your real objective when trading It’s really nice to bang in some massive results now and again, but generally, that’s not what trading is about. Most of the time I’m in a market I’m just looking for an opportunity. Something I recognise…

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Top five tips for winning on the Grand National

It’s the Grand National and it’s one of the most famous horse races of the year it’s the race that everybody has a bet on, but very few will win. Here are five top tips on how to win on the grand national this year: – Place a bet that will win more if you…

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Using variable staking to minimise your losses

People have asked me now and again why I use certain stakes in the market. That question is relatively simple to answer, but you have to go a bit deeper to really get to grips with exactly how you should be staking in general. If you look at a lot of my content you’ll notice…

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A very effective F1 trading opportunity

Trading on Formula One racing may seem unusual, starting to trade even before the season has even started is even more unusual; but it can often present some really good opportunities. Like most markets, there is always a strategy that you can find which makes perfect sense and which doesn’t often require any specific detailed knowledge…

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Why do favourites only win 1/3rd of the time?

So you’re betting on horse racing and you want to pick a winner. Which horse should you pick? Of course, you should pick the favourite, because that has the best chance of winning the race. But you may also be aware that only one-third of favourites go on to win. So, why is that and…

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